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Assumptions
35.5%
Market is pricing 35.5%— you agree
No trailing FCF growth rate — the series crosses zero or is too short, and a CAGR through a negative is not a number worth printing.
10 yrs
3.00%
12.73%
12.7% derived for this companybeta 1.79 (1254d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 12.7% = 4.7% risk-free + 1.79 × 4.5% premium · treated as all-equityeffective tax rate unusable; US statutory 21% assumed; cost of debt not derivable; risk-free + 1.5pts assumed; no debt figure; treated as all-equity
Fair value DCF model
$318.07
+0.3%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $317.02Enterprise value 110.0B
Bear $227.34(30.5% growth)Bull $442.16(40.5%)
market $317.02
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices 35.5%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
32% the 10 forecast years68% terminal value
Same industry · Software · trailing P/E for context