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Assumptions
59.8%
Market is pricing 59.8%(beyond the slider's range)— you agree
No trailing FCF growth rate — the series crosses zero or is too short, and a CAGR through a negative is not a number worth printing.
10 yrs
3.00%
14.72%
14.7% derived for this companybeta 2.23 (1254d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 14.7% = 4.7% risk-free + 2.23 × 4.5% premium · treated as all-equityeffective tax rate unusable; US statutory 21% assumed; cost of debt not derivable; risk-free + 1.5pts assumed; no debt figure; treated as all-equity
Fair value DCF model
$276.96
-0.2%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $277.58Enterprise value 96.5B
Bear $205.72(54.8% growth)Bull $370.32(64.8%)
market $277.58
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices 59.8%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
28% the 10 forecast years72% terminal value
Same industry · Software · trailing P/E for context