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Assumptions
24.1%
Market is pricing 24.1%— you agree
Actually grew +18.3%/yrFCF, 2021–2025 — the market is pricing 5.8pts FASTER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
11.18%
11.2% derived for this companybeta 1.44 (1254d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 11.2% = 4.7% risk-free + 1.44 × 4.5% premium · treated as all-equitycost of debt not derivable; risk-free + 1.5pts assumed; no debt figure; treated as all-equity
Fair value DCF model
$331.97
+0.0%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $331.90Enterprise value 90.5B
Bear $232.49(19.1% growth)Bull $471.54(29.1%)
market $331.90
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices 24.1%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
34% the 10 forecast years66% terminal value
Same industry · Software · trailing P/E for context