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Assumptions
19.2%
Market is pricing 19.2%— you agree
Actually grew +18.3%/yrFCF, 2020–2025 — the market is pricing 0.9pts FASTER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
10.78%
10.8% derived for this companybeta 1.42 (1254d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 11.1% = 4.7% risk-free + 1.42 × 4.5% premium · 4% debt at 3.9%, taxed at 16%
Fair value DCF model
$374.32
+0.2%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $373.66Enterprise value 183.3B
Bear $260.47(14.2% growth)Bull $535.85(24.2%)
market $373.66
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices 19.2%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
36% the 10 forecast years64% terminal value
Same industry · Semiconductors · trailing P/E for context