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Assumptions
27.0%
Market is pricing 27.0%— you agree
Actually grew +18.3%/yrFCF, 2020–2025 — the market is pricing 8.7pts FASTER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
11.87%
11.9% derived for this companybeta 1.66 (1232d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 12.2% = 4.7% risk-free + 1.66 × 4.5% premium · 3% debt at 4.8%, taxed at 21%effective tax rate unusable; US statutory 21% assumed
Fair value DCF model
$356.13
-0.2%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $356.74Enterprise value 1.69T
Bear $251.14(22.0% growth)Bull $502.33(32.0%)
market $356.74
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices 27.0%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
34% the 10 forecast years66% terminal value
Same industry · Semiconductors · trailing P/E for context