Research / Stock / UNP
U
UNP
UNION PACIFIC CORP
309.59
-0.27 -0.09%
close 2026-08-25
Assumptions
6.1%
Market is pricing 6.1%— you agree
Actually grew -0.4%/yrFCF, 2020–2025 — the market is pricing 6.5pts FASTER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
6.98%
7.0% derived for this company beta 0.66 (1254d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 7.7% = 4.7% risk-free + 0.66 × 4.5% premium · 15% debt at 4.1%, taxed at 22%
Fair value
$309.39
-0.1%
At the market's assumptionsCurrent price $309.59Enterprise value 183.6B
Bear $205.07 (1.1% growth)Bull $464.71 (11.1%)
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices 6.1%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
29% the 10 forecast years71% terminal value
Same industry · SIC 4011 · trailing P/E for context
CSXP/E 3395.8Bthis P/E: 26