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Assumptions
0.5%
Market is pricing 0.5%— you agree
No trailing FCF growth rate — the series crosses zero or is too short, and a CAGR through a negative is not a number worth printing.
10 yrs
3.00%
6.83%
6.8% derived for this companybeta 0.69 (1254d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 7.8% = 4.7% risk-free + 0.69 × 4.5% premium · 24% debt at 4.5%, taxed at 16%
Fair value DCF model
$353.51
-0.4%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $354.88Enterprise value 104.2B
Bear $233.65(-4.5% growth)Bull $534.80(5.5%)
market $354.88
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices 0.5%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
33% the 10 forecast years67% terminal value
Same industry · Oil & Gas · trailing P/E for context