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Assumptions
16.9%
Market is pricing 16.9%— you agree
Actually grew +14.3%/yrFCF, 2020–2025 — the market is pricing 2.6pts FASTER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
11.64%
11.6% derived for this companybeta 1.62 (1232d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 12.0% = 4.7% risk-free + 1.62 × 4.5% premium · 3% debt at 2.0%, taxed at 30%
Fair value DCF model
$571.19
+0.2%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $570.05Enterprise value 1.47T
Bear $400.02(11.9% growth)Bull $814.33(21.9%)
market $570.05
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices 16.9%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
41% the 10 forecast years59% terminal value
Same industry · Internet Services · trailing P/E for context