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Assumptions
21.9%
Market is pricing 21.9%— you agree
Actually grew +11.3%/yrFCF, 2020–2025 — the market is pricing 10.6pts FASTER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
10.28%
10.3% derived for this companybeta 1.26 (1232d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 10.4% = 4.7% risk-free + 1.26 × 4.5% premium · 1% debt at 1.5%, taxed at 17%
Fair value DCF model
$343.08
-0.1%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $343.34Enterprise value 4.15T
Bear $238.31(16.9% growth)Bull $491.16(26.9%)
market $343.34
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices 21.9%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
32% the 10 forecast years68% terminal value
Same industry · Internet Services · trailing P/E for context