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Assumptions
18.1%
Market is pricing 18.1%— you agree
Actually grew +29.6%/yrFCF, 2020–2025 — the market is pricing 11.5pts SLOWER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
9.37%
9.4% derived for this companybeta 1.09 (1254d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 9.6% = 4.7% risk-free + 1.09 × 4.5% premium · 5% debt at 6.2%, taxed at 14%cost of debt not derivable; risk-free + 1.5pts assumed
Fair value DCF model
$349.62
+0.0%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $349.54Enterprise value 366.7B
Bear $240.28(13.1% growth)Bull $505.92(23.1%)
market $349.54
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices 18.1%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
31% the 10 forecast years69% terminal value
Same industry · SIC 3600 · trailing P/E for context