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Assumptions
-9.1%
Market is pricing -9.1%— you agree
Actually grew +17.4%/yrFCF, 2021–2026 — the market is pricing 26.5pts SLOWER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
5.98%
6.0% derived for this companybeta 0.39 (1232d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 6.5% = 4.7% risk-free + 0.39 × 4.5% premium · 14% debt at 3.9%, taxed at 22%
Fair value DCF model
$236.91
-0.4%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $237.92Enterprise value 55.1B
Bear $155.34(-14.1% growth)Bull $364.50(-4.1%)
market $237.92
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices -9.1%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
39% the 10 forecast years61% terminal value
Same industry · Drug Distribution · trailing P/E for context