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Assumptions
-9.6%
Market is pricing -9.6%— you agree
Actually grew +17.3%/yrFCF, 2020–2025 — the market is pricing 26.9pts SLOWER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
7.52%
7.5% derived for this companybeta 0.81 (1254d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 8.3% = 4.7% risk-free + 0.81 × 4.5% premium · 13% debt at 2.3%, taxed at 17%
Fair value DCF model
$384.12
-0.0%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $384.14Enterprise value 180.6B
Bear $263.95(-14.6% growth)Bull $568.19(-4.6%)
market $384.14
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices -9.6%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
52% the 10 forecast years48% terminal value
Same industry · Platform Services · trailing P/E for context