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Assumptions
-12.1%
Market is pricing -12.1%— you agree
Actually grew -7.3%/yrFCF, 2020–2025 — the market is pricing 4.8pts SLOWER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
6.05%
6.0% derived for this companybeta 0.30 (1254d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 6.0% = 4.7% risk-free + 0.30 × 4.5% premium · treated as all-equitybeta 0.26 clamped to 0.30; no market cap; capital structure assumed all-equity
Fair value DCF model
$25.74
-0.1%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $25.77Enterprise value 180.2B
Bear $17.09(-17.1% growth)Bull $39.36(-7.1%)
market $25.77
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices -12.1%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
44% the 10 forecast years56% terminal value
Same industry · SIC 4813 · trailing P/E for context