Research / Stock / MCD
M

MCD

MCDONALDS CORP
FY2025Mkt cap 190.5B
268.10
-4.44   -1.63%
close 2026-08-25

Assumptions

-0.9%
Market is pricing -0.9%— you agree
Actually grew +9.2%/yrFCF, 20202025 — the market is pricing 10.1pts SLOWER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
5.77%
5.8% derived for this company beta 0.36 (1254d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 6.3% = 4.7% risk-free + 0.36 × 4.5% premium · 17% debt at 3.9%, taxed at 21% effective tax rate unusable; US statutory 21% assumed

Fair value DCF model

$268.03
-0.0%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $268.10Enterprise value 190.4B
Bear $173.07 (-5.9% growth)Bull $413.57 (4.1%)
market $268.10
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices -0.9%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
27% the 10 forecast years73% terminal value
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Base FCF: SEC EDGAR companyfacts, FY2025 · price: close of 25 Aug 2026