Research / Stock / JCI
J
JCI
Johnson Controls International plc
141.82
-1.17 -0.82%
close 2026-08-25
Assumptions
15.6%
Market is pricing 15.6%— you agree
Actually grew +0.8%/yrFCF, 2020–2025 — the market is pricing 14.8pts FASTER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
9.52%
9.5% derived for this company beta 1.07 (1254d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 9.5% = 4.7% risk-free + 1.07 × 4.5% premium · treated as all-equity no market cap; capital structure assumed all-equity
Fair value
$141.32
-0.4%
At the market's assumptionsCurrent price $141.82Enterprise value 86.4B
Bear $97.08 (10.6% growth)Bull $204.88 (20.6%)
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices 15.6%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
33% the 10 forecast years67% terminal value