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Assumptions
25.7%
Market is pricing 25.7%— you agree
Actually grew +42.7%/yrFCF, 2020–2025 — the market is pricing 17.0pts SLOWER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
11.97%
12.0% derived for this companybeta 1.62 (1254d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 12.0% = 4.7% risk-free + 1.62 × 4.5% premium · treated as all-equitycost of debt not derivable; risk-free + 1.5pts assumed; no debt figure; treated as all-equity
Fair value DCF model
$191.07
+0.1%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $190.94Enterprise value 240.1B
Bear $134.67(20.7% growth)Bull $269.78(30.7%)
market $190.94
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices 25.7%
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Present value of each projected year, Y1–Y10
35% the 10 forecast years65% terminal value
Same industry · SIC 3576 · trailing P/E for context