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Assumptions
-3.5%
Market is pricing -3.5%— you agree
Actually grew +5.8%/yrFCF, 2020–2025 — the market is pricing 9.3pts SLOWER than history
10 yrs
3.00%
5.66%
5.7% derived for this companybeta 0.48 (1232d vs the S&P 500) · cost of equity 6.8% = 4.7% risk-free + 0.48 × 4.5% premium · 32% debt at 3.6%, taxed at 14%
Fair value DCF model
$177.92
-0.4%
At the market's assumptions
Current price $178.57Enterprise value 82.9B
Bear $114.57(-8.5% growth)Bull $275.87(1.5%)
market $178.57
Today's market price is inside the range · band = your growth ±5pts, same model · the market itself prices -3.5%